SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Paris FC |
24.79% ( -0.04) | 29.18% ( -0.12) | 46.03% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 40.47% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.73% ( 0.33) | 65.27% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.92% ( 0.23) | 84.08% ( -0.23) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.66% ( 0.16) | 43.34% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.43% ( 0.13) | 79.57% ( -0.13) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( 0.25) | 28.58% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.62% ( 0.31) | 64.38% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Paris FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.02% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 15.51% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 46.03% |
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