Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Niort had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dijon would win this match.