Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Niort had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
-0) 
0) 
