Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Niort had a probability of 28.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Le Havre in this match.
-0.07) 
0.09) 
