Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
-0.27) 
0.23) 
