Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
-0.46) 
0.91) 
