Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Niort had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.
-0.43) 
0.52) 
