SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Amiens |
51.22% ( -0.52) | 24.14% ( -0.09) | 24.64% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( 0.95) | 47.42% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( 0.88) | 69.63% ( -0.88) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( 0.16) | 18.52% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.25% ( 0.27) | 49.75% ( -0.27) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( 1.05) | 33.5% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% ( 1.13) | 70.13% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Amiens |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.64% |
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