Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
-0.52) 
0.61) 
