Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Paris FC	Draw	Bastia
38.43% ( 1.67)	28.11% ( -0.14)	33.46% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.19% (

0.36)

58.81% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.67% (

0.27)

79.33% (

-0.27)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

1.19)

29.66% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

1.43)

65.7% (

-1.42)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

-0.84)

32.81% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

-0.95)

69.38% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Paris FC 38.42%

Bastia 33.46%

Draw 28.11%

Paris FC	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.42%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.46%