SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris FC | Draw | Bastia |
38.43% ( 1.67) | 28.11% ( -0.14) | 33.46% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.19% ( 0.36) | 58.81% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.67% ( 0.27) | 79.33% ( -0.27) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( 1.19) | 29.66% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.3% ( 1.43) | 65.7% ( -1.42) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0.84) | 32.81% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.62% ( -0.95) | 69.38% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris FC | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.42% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.46% |
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