Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Bastia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Bastia |
29.46% ( -0.02) | 28.86% ( -0.01) | 41.68% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.98% ( 0.01) |
| 37.68% ( 0.02) | 62.31% ( -0.02) |
| 18.03% ( 0.01) | 81.96% ( -0.02) |
| 62.38% ( -0.01) | 37.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.6% ( -0) | 74.4% ( 0) |
| 70.5% ( 0.02) | 29.5% ( -0.03) |
