Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
0.72) 
-1.28) 
