Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
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