SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Paris FC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Paris FC |
73.36% ( -1.38) | 15.43% ( 0.54) | 11.21% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.18) | 30.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.43% ( -0.22) | 51.57% ( 0.22) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.89% ( -0.3) | 7.11% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.1% ( -0.82) | 25.9% ( 0.82) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% ( 1.32) | 38.53% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.72% ( 1.24) | 75.28% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Paris FC |
| 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.03% Total : 73.36% | 1-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.43% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.63% Total : 11.21% |
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