Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.