Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
