Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
