Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.