Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.23) 
