Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 35.88%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.09) 
