Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.