Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
