SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Pau had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Bastia |
34.62% ( -0.11) | 29.65% ( -0.07) | 35.73% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.07% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.01% ( 0.23) | 63.99% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.82% ( 0.17) | 83.18% ( -0.17) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( 0.05) | 34.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.52% ( 0.05) | 71.48% ( -0.05) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( 0.25) | 33.99% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.33% ( 0.27) | 70.67% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.73% |
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