Although Pau will be fighting to avoid relegation, there is a clear gulf in quality between these two sides and we expect Caen to end the season on a high by securing a third victory in four matches.
Moulin and his players will sense an excellent opportunity to lay down a marker for next season, and they will not be interested in handing out any favours to their opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pau had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
1.65) 
-2.7) 
