Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 39.5%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 29.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.42%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.