Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Pau had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Pau	Draw	Saint-Etienne
28.21% ( 1.66)	26.92% ( 0.67)	44.87% ( -2.33)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94% (

-1.57)

56.06% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86% (

-1.29)

77.14% (

1.28)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78% (

0.51)

35.21% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.03% (

0.53)

71.96% (

-0.53)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

-1.8)

24.88% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

-2.57)

59.48% (

2.56)

Score Analysis

Pau 28.21%

Saint-Etienne 44.86%

Draw 26.92%

Pau	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.21%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.21) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.86%