Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Pau had a probability of 12.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
