Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 42.11%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Pau had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.08) 
