SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 42.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 28.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Quevilly | Draw | Valenciennes |
42.26% ( -0.35) | 29.36% ( 0.2) | 28.38% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 42.22% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.76% ( -0.55) | 64.25% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.64% ( -0.39) | 83.36% ( 0.39) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.47) | 30.13% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.72% ( -0.57) | 66.28% ( 0.58) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( -0.18) | 39.57% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.74% ( -0.16) | 76.26% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Quevilly | Draw | Valenciennes |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.35% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.35% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 28.38% |
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