Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
Result | ||
Sochaux | Draw | Valenciennes |
51.74% ( -0.12) | 27.05% ( 0) | 21.21% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 42.14% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.71% ( 0.09) | 61.28% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.79% ( 0.07) | 81.2% ( -0.07) |
Sochaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% ( -0.01) | 23.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.82% ( -0.02) | 58.17% ( 0.02) |
Valenciennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.4% ( 0.18) | 44.6% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.39% ( 0.15) | 80.61% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Sochaux | Draw | Valenciennes |
1-0 @ 15.26% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.31% Total : 51.73% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.21% |
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