SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grenoble | Draw | Metz |
38.32% ( -0.52) | 26.8% ( 0.04) | 34.89% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( -0.11) | 53.62% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( -0.09) | 75.12% ( 0.09) |
| Grenoble Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.34) | 27.22% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.45) | 62.64% ( 0.46) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( 0.25) | 29.27% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( 0.31) | 65.23% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grenoble | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.89% |
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