Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Niort had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.
-0.38) 
0.01) 
