Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Laval had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.