Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 26.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Sochaux |
46.21% ( 0.23) | 27.25% ( -0.02) | 26.54% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 46.62% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.86% ( -0.06) | 58.14% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.2% ( -0.05) | 78.8% ( 0.05) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% ( 0.08) | 25.15% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.13% ( 0.12) | 59.87% ( -0.12) |
Sochaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.28% ( -0.21) | 37.71% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.51% ( -0.21) | 74.49% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Sochaux |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: