Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Laval had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Laval win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
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