Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
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