Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
0.22) 
-0.07) 
