Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
0.47) 
-0.47) 
