Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bordeaux in this match.