Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
Caen	Draw	Valenciennes
57.02% ( 0.93)	25.77% ( -0.25)	17.2% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 39.69% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.68% (

-0.03)

61.31% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77% (

-0.02)

81.23% (

0.02)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

0.37)

21.68% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17% (

0.57)

54.82% (

-0.57)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.68% (

-0.89)

49.31% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.82% (

-0.64)

84.17% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Caen 57.02%

Valenciennes 17.2%

Draw 25.76%

Caen	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 16.34% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.02%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.2%