Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
