Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.
0.72) 
-1.33) 
