Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.

Result
Guingamp	Draw	Saint-Etienne
40.46% ( 0.27)	25.87% ( 0.19)	33.66% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.04% (

-0.93)

49.95% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

-0.84)

71.94% (

0.83)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62% (

-0.27)

24.38% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21% (

-0.39)

58.78% (

0.38)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-0.74)

28.24% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-0.95)

63.95% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Guingamp 40.46%

Saint-Etienne 33.66%

Draw 25.86%

Guingamp	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.46%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.66%