Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
0.27) 
-0.47) 
