Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.78%) and 1-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
47.08% ( 0.17) | 21.78% ( -0.4) | 31.13% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 67.97% ( 1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.39% ( 2.14) | 31.6% ( -2.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.9% ( 2.47) | 53.09% ( -2.48) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.9% ( 0.86) | 14.09% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.29% ( 1.66) | 41.71% ( -1.67) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.12% ( 1.17) | 20.87% ( -1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.43% ( 1.81) | 53.57% ( -1.82) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.71% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.12) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: