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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28
Aug 30, 2021 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
FD

Austin
3 - 5
Dallas

Cascante (13'), Fagundez (59'), Ring (68')
Lima (25')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Ferreira (5', 38'), Pepi (36', 40'), Obrian (53')
Schon (17'), Elmedkhar (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawDallas
43.89%24.61%31.51%
Both teams to score 57.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94%45.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59%67.41%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38%20.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81%53.19%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37%62.64%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.89%
    Dallas 31.51%
    Draw 24.61%
Austin FCDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.89%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.51%

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