Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
