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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 46.55% | 24.82% | 28.63% |
| Both teams to score 55.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.61% | 47.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% | 69.61% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% | 20.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.15% | 52.85% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.47% | 66.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.55% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.63% |
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