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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Jul 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
NY

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
NY City

Nagbe (45+3'), Zelarayan (62')
Abdul-Salaam (9'), Hairston (37'), Santos (77'), Francis (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Medina (47')
Chanot (31'), Medina (34'), Acevedo (39'), Thorarinsson (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawNew York City FC
36.98%25.16%37.86%
Both teams to score 57.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59%46.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31%68.69%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38%24.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87%59.13%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85%24.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54%58.46%
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 36.98%
    New York City FC 37.86%
    Draw 25.16%
Columbus CrewDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 0.97%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.9%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.01%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.86%

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