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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 22
Aug 5, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
DU

Columbus Crew
2 - 4
DC United

Molino (65'), Zelarayan (71')
Keita (24'), Etienne (30'), Mensah (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Kamara (19', 45+3' pen.), Reyna (40', 74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawDC United
49.15%25.05%25.8%
Both teams to score 52.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73%50.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78%72.21%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53%20.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06%52.94%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94%34.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26%70.74%
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 49.14%
    DC United 25.8%
    Draw 25.05%
Columbus CrewDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 25.8%

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