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Thursday, March 28
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
MI

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Montreal

Zardes (44', 62')
Williams (39'), Etienne (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quioto (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawCF Montreal
43.4%25.86%30.73%
Both teams to score 53.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2%50.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31%72.68%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78%57.22%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4%30.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.83%
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 43.4%
    CF Montreal 30.73%
    Draw 25.86%
Columbus CrewDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.44%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.73%

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