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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 32
Sep 15, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
NY

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Nagbe (74'), Berry (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Klimala (25')
Yearwood (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawNew York Red Bulls
42.44%24.9%32.67%
Both teams to score 57.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05%45.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74%68.26%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34%21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2%54.8%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.25%
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 42.44%
    New York Red Bulls 32.67%
    Draw 24.89%
Columbus CrewDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.95%
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.02%
1-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.67%

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