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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28
Aug 22, 2021 at 1am UK
PPL Park
MI

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Montreal

Sullivan (87')
Mbaizo (3'), Monteiro (6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mihailovic (45+1')
Choiniere (44'), Miller (68'), Breza (90+4'), Kizza (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawCF Montreal
61.64%22.43%15.93%
Both teams to score 45.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52%51.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71%73.28%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77%16.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.26%45.74%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.9%45.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.98%81.01%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 61.64%
    CF Montreal 15.93%
    Draw 22.42%
Philadelphia UnionDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 13.31%
2-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 5.84%
4-0 @ 3.33%
4-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.33%
5-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 61.64%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.83%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.32%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 15.93%

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